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Yale Bulldogs 63
@
Alabama Crimson Tide 66
2008-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 9.4% 90.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% - ✓
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.7 ✓ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% - ✗
Efficiency 93.5% 6.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 4.9% 95.1% - ✓

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Pinick 38 8-21 1-3 0-0 11 2 3 0 3 17 9 -
R. Morin 31 9-18 0-2 2-4 6 1 0 1 1 20 9 -
G. Fiddler 23 3-8 0-0 0-1 6 2 1 1 0 6 8 -
C. Andrews 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 5 4 0 2 0 6 -
A. Zampier 21 0-5 0-2 8-10 3 1 0 0 3 8 4 -
J. Gibson 19 3-6 2-2 0-0 5 0 1 1 3 8 6 -
P. Braswell 19 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 0 -2 -
P. Nelson 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Sands 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 4 -
R. Mantilla 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gee 38 8-17 1-3 3-4 10 1 1 2 3 20 14 -
R. Steele 36 5-10 2-6 4-4 7 6 0 0 5 16 14 -
J. Knox 32 0-1 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 0 3 0 4 -
S. Hillman 31 7-16 0-1 4-4 2 2 3 0 3 18 6 -
Y. Coleman 27 1-2 0-0 0-1 5 0 3 6 0 2 14 -
J. Green 20 2-6 0-0 6-7 9 0 1 0 3 10 11 -
M. Torrance 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Hollinger 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter