Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Dartmouth Big Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -22 (41-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Holland | 29 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| E. Washington | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Henke | 27 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Merriex | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Stewart | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| G. Parker | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. McLain | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Schafer | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Atkins | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Noonan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Provost | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. El-Amin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Barnett | 37 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 10-10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Trotter | 33 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| R. Dixon | 23 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | - |
| R. Pride | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Biber | 21 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Graeber | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Sanders | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Weeden | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Rufful | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Riddle | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Fitzgerald | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Crecco | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter