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2008-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% -
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 29.4% 70.6% -
Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% -
Log Adjusted 15.7% 84.3% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Hawkins 32 3-6 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 9 5 -
C. Hannah 31 7-13 1-4 2-2 4 5 4 0 3 17 14 -
T. Murry 30 6-12 3-6 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 16 10 -
J.T. Durley 25 1-6 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 1 3 2 2 -
R. Clemente 22 0-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 1 2 -
R. Chamberlain 16 2-7 1-5 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 5 1 -
A. Ellis 15 0-2 0-1 0-2 5 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
G. Stutz 12 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
M. Griskenas 10 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
G. Hatch 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Woodfox 29 6-9 2-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 16 9 -
P. Stinnett 28 3-6 0-2 2-4 3 2 2 0 0 8 9 -
J. Dotzler 27 2-5 0-0 2-2 0 6 4 0 1 6 10 -
J. Carter 24 4-8 1-4 2-3 7 1 1 1 2 11 11 -
C. Witter 22 2-9 1-2 4-4 2 4 2 0 4 9 4 -
K. Lawson Jr. 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -1 -
C. Harriman 16 1-3 1-3 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 5 7 -
K. Korver 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 4 -
C. Millard 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Walker II 12 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 2 0 8 10 -

* = starter