Model Predictions
| Model | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +22 (97-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Rosario | 32 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | - |
| A. Farmer | 30 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| C. Chandler | 30 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| G. Echenique | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J.R. Inman | 27 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| H. Ndiaye | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Coburn | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| E. Pettis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Griffin | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lawson | 30 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 29 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| D. Green | 27 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| W. Ellington | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| E. Davis | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| W. Graves | 13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Frasor | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| L. Drew II | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Watts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wooten | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter