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2008-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Spread Result
Elo 49.4% 50.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“
Margin 66.2% 33.8% -3.7 โœ“ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 79.0% 21.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 79.5% 20.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.8% 43.2% - โœ“

Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -13 (69-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas 35 8-16 3-7 8-11 5 5 2 2 0 27 25 -
C. Singleton 29 6-13 3-5 3-4 6 3 2 3 2 18 17 -
R. Reid 28 5-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 4 2 1 11 12 -
L. Loucks 27 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 3 5 -
D. Kitchen 24 4-6 1-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 11 11 -
J. DeMercy 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 0 8 -
U. Echefu 14 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 -
D. Dulkys 13 2-6 2-6 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 8 1 -
S. Alabi 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Slaughter 38 5-16 2-10 2-3 2 2 0 0 4 14 -2 -
O. Mendez-Valdez 36 9-12 7-9 0-0 7 3 3 1 2 25 25 -
S. Pettigrew 31 2-8 1-4 4-6 5 0 1 1 0 9 8 -
S. Kerusch 30 2-10 1-4 3-4 7 0 1 0 4 8 2 -
J. Evans 27 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 6 4 -
A. Sally 19 1-3 1-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 5 6 -
D.J. Magley 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Walker 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Cvoro 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter