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2008-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 25.3% 74.7% -
Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.1% 83.9% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +16 (79-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mullins 34 4-13 3-9 0-1 3 6 1 0 2 11 6 -
K. Dillard 31 6-10 5-7 4-4 1 0 1 0 1 21 12 -
T. Boyle 25 2-4 0-0 3-5 3 0 0 0 5 7 1 -
R. Hare 20 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 2 0 3 2 3 -
C. Fay 19 2-7 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 7 4 -
W. Clemmons 18 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
A. Booker 17 1-7 0-1 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
T. Roundtree 13 0-0 0-0 2-4 2 2 1 0 1 2 6 -
N. Evans 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 2 -
C. Cornelius 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Bocot 5 1-2 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 5 5 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. McCain 32 1-2 0-0 4-4 4 4 0 0 4 6 8 -
S. Maniscalco 30 4-8 3-6 7-7 4 4 1 0 3 18 16 -
C. Roberts 25 1-4 1-2 4-4 2 3 0 0 1 7 7 -
T. Wilson 24 4-5 0-1 9-10 4 1 3 0 1 17 19 -
D. Dunson 21 2-4 1-2 0-2 1 2 0 0 3 5 1 -
S. Singh 19 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 5 2 2 8 13 -
D. Collins 17 3-3 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 1 6 10 -
T. Brown 16 2-6 1-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 5 4 -
D. Norris 10 2-3 1-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
A. Thompson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
R. Phillips 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Goertzen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter