Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +20 (81-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Campbell | 32 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Stohl | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| L. Sikma | 27 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| N. Raivio | 22 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Ito | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Waterford | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Christopher | 31 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| T. Robertson | 30 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| J. Randle | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| J. Boykin | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 26 | - |
| J. Wilkes | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| H. Kamp | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Gutierrez | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| N. Knezevic | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| O. Amoke | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Seeley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Zhang | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter