Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +12 (60-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dukes | 28 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Goldston | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. Fields | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Chase | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Curry | 23 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7 | - |
| L. Mendez | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Lott | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| X. Hansbro | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Hampton | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Krubally | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Rimmer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Johnson | 33 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Gabbidon | 28 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Bonney | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Shank | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Gibson | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Smith IV | 21 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C. Allen | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Fields | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Stepter | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Frohlich | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter