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Portland Pilots 43
@
Air Force Falcons 42
2008-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 69.6% 30.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 54.6% 45.4% - ✓
Margin 49.8% 50.2% +0.0 ✗ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 75.4% 24.6% - ✓
Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 75.0% 25.0% - ✓

Actual: Air Force Falcons -1 (42-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Campbell 37 3-7 1-3 3-4 3 3 2 0 2 10 9 -
J. Stohl 35 2-12 1-11 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 5 -8 -
L. Sikma 35 3-4 0-0 1-4 13 1 0 1 4 7 14 -
N. Raivio 33 2-12 0-6 3-4 4 2 0 0 1 7 0 -
R. Smeulders 29 1-8 0-0 4-5 8 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
E. Niedermeyer 13 3-4 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
T. Ito 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Hannibal 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B.J. Porter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 39 3-8 1-1 3-5 3 1 0 0 2 10 4 -
A. Henke 35 1-7 1-6 7-8 3 4 1 1 4 10 8 -
M. Holland 33 2-8 1-6 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 5 2 -
E. Washington 24 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 2 -1 -
M. McLain 20 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 3 1 -
G. Parker 18 2-2 1-1 7-8 3 0 0 0 1 12 12 -
A. Merriex 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Stewart 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 3 -
T. Noonan 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter