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2008-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Marshall Thundering Herd Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 13.1% 86.9% -
Bradley-Terry 18.5% 81.5% -
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 (0.8 off)

Actual: Dayton Flyers +12 (62-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Pitts 33 1-6 1-6 1-2 3 3 0 0 5 4 -1 -
C. Lutz 32 4-11 4-6 2-2 6 4 1 0 3 14 11 -
M. Humphrey 28 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
T. Baines 20 2-9 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 2 7 0 -
S. Johnson 19 1-4 0-1 3-4 2 2 1 0 0 5 6 -
D. Merthie 18 3-7 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 7 1 -
T. Wilkerson 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. Goode 15 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 7 6 -
O. Spann 11 1-2 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
D. Pena 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson 33 4-9 1-2 2-4 2 2 0 1 0 11 7 -
C. Wright 29 4-11 0-2 8-11 10 0 1 2 0 16 18 -
L. Warren 27 1-3 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 1 2 5 8 -
K. Huelsman 26 0-4 0-0 4-4 4 0 1 3 1 4 7 -
C. Little 25 3-8 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
C. Johnson 18 1-4 0-2 4-4 4 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
S. Thomas 10 0-3 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
P. Williams 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Searcy 8 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
M. Perry 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
R. Lowery 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -
L. Fabrizius 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter