Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +16.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +19 (86-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Herring | 40 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 3-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| K. Moore | 36 | 8-16 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 8 | - |
| C. Williams | 32 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Maxwell | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Kirk | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. Russell | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Jones | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hill | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Morgan | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Thomas | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| I. Koggu | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| D. Boone | 21 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| B. Ayers | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| M. Lance | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| E. McKinney | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| J. Brown | 18 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Bryant | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Keaton | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| L. Handy | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter