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2008-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 7.8% 92.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 (11.8 off)

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +19 (86-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Herring 40 5-14 1-4 3-7 3 2 1 0 3 14 3 -
K. Moore 36 8-16 7-14 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 24 8 -
C. Williams 32 4-10 1-1 7-7 9 0 1 1 1 16 16 -
J. Maxwell 22 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 3 2 0 -
I. Kirk 18 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 3 6 -
L. Russell 18 2-2 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
B. Jones 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Hill 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 0 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Morgan 24 6-10 0-0 4-4 6 1 1 1 3 16 12 -
J. Thomas 23 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 3 5 -
I. Koggu 23 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 8 0 0 1 5 14 -
D. Boone 21 5-7 2-4 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 13 12 -
B. Ayers 20 3-8 2-6 3-4 1 0 1 0 1 11 4 -
M. Lance 19 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 5 -
E. McKinney 19 2-8 0-0 0-1 7 1 3 4 0 4 11 -
J. Brown 18 5-8 1-1 3-4 8 0 0 0 2 14 12 -
D. Bryant 17 2-5 1-3 2-4 1 2 1 0 2 7 4 -
P.J. Keaton 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
L. Handy 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 1 3 -

* = starter