Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Tiller | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Lyons | 29 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 8-11 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| D. Carroll | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 23 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Z. Taylor | 22 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| K. English | 20 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Denmon | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Ramsey | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Safford | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Paul | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| L. Bowers | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frazier | 35 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - |
| T. Meacham | 34 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| M. Davis | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| D. McCamey | 32 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Keller | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Brock | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Semrau | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Legion | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Jordan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Chisholm | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Cole | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter