Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +11 (66-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Fall | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| D. Williams | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -2 | - |
| P. McCoy | 28 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -4 | - |
| R. Harp | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Nyakundi | 25 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Walker | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Faye | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Malone | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Haynes | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Otis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Dia | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 37 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Shurna | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| C. Moore | 26 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Ryan | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Coble | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Rowley | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Nash | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Capocci | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter