Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.2 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +6 (74-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bose | 37 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| R. Bathie | 35 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| K. Carter | 32 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J. Payne | 31 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Iles | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| F. Hunter | 15 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| K. Ford | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Friend | 13 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. McCallum | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost | 33 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | - |
| P. Turner | 33 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| B. Stewart | 32 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Johnson | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Varnado | 28 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 26 | - |
| R. Benock | 15 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Johnson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Osby | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Beckham | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Bolen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter