Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Columbia Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.5% | 8.5% | -13.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Columbia Lions -20 (58-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bell | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| L. Ellison | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Beal | 0 | 12-20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 16 | - |
| N. Gartrell | 0 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Fields | 0 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gordon | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Dwyer | 0 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| S. Yee | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Browne | 0 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Lomax | 0 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
* = starter