Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +16 (72-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tresvant | 33 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| W. Galick | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Townsend | 28 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 1 | - |
| R. Haynes | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Daniels | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Mels | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Lizarraga | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| X. Crawford | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Wallace | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 32 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| K. Spain | 30 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| R. Williams | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| L. Wade | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Shelton | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. White | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Thomas | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter