Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.1% | 16.9% | -8.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders -3 (56-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.