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2008-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Wagner Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 81.3% 18.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% -
Margin 49.2% 50.8% +0.2 (11.8 off)

Actual: Wagner Seahawks +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sullivan 30 3-9 1-6 0-3 7 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
C. Skrelja 30 1-4 0-1 0-0 10 6 2 0 2 2 14 -
M. Mullery 28 5-9 1-1 7-10 5 0 1 0 2 18 13 -
A. Williams 25 3-11 3-9 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 10 1 -
C. Taylor 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
S. Kane 12 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
J. Harris 12 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 5 3 -
S. Gruber 11 0-1 0-1 3-5 1 2 1 0 2 3 4 -
N. Hollingsworth 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Kelly 9 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -
S. Friske 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -1 -
S. Kaluz 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Drummond 28 2-5 0-1 4-4 7 7 3 2 1 8 21 -
J. Mundweiler 26 7-11 5-9 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 19 8 -
C. Spiller 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 1 2 2 7 -
J. Smith 24 8-15 2-6 2-3 0 1 2 0 0 20 8 -
T. Murray 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 0 3 -
L. Radford 19 3-6 1-1 3-4 6 1 0 0 5 10 6 -
M. Orock 17 1-2 0-0 2-4 5 1 1 1 0 4 10 -
D. Elwell 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
C. Martin 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
T.J. Czeski 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
C. Harris 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 4 2 -

* = starter