Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Penn State Lady Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Lady Lions -7 (60-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.