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2008-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 63.8% 36.2% -
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% -
Margin 16.1% 83.9% +9.1 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 63.4% 36.6% -
Efficiency 92.4% 7.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.1% 26.9% -
Log Adjusted 73.2% 26.8% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles -8 (48-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Fields 37 1-10 1-5 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 3 1 -
S. Young 34 7-16 1-5 6-8 7 1 1 1 3 21 12 -
T. Biggs 31 2-5 1-1 0-0 9 0 0 1 3 5 7 -
D. Blair 24 5-11 0-0 0-0 12 0 5 0 2 10 14 -
J. Dixon 24 4-8 2-5 1-3 3 1 1 1 3 11 6 -
B. Wanamaker 19 0-5 0-2 1-2 5 2 0 1 3 1 1 -
G. Brown 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 2 4 -
A. Gibbs 8 1-6 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -3 -
G. McGhee 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Robinson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas 38 6-15 3-10 5-6 5 0 2 1 6 20 7 -
J. DeMercy 32 1-5 0-1 2-2 8 3 3 0 3 4 10 -
C. Singleton 30 1-9 1-4 3-4 4 0 0 3 0 6 4 -
R. Reid 28 1-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 4 3 -1 -
U. Echefu 21 2-6 0-2 1-2 6 0 0 1 0 5 6 -
D. Kitchen 20 2-4 0-1 3-4 2 2 0 0 2 7 5 -
S. Alabi 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
L. Loucks 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 1 2 -

* = starter