Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | +1.5 | ✗ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -1 (55-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jones | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J. Johnson | 0 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| R. Brown | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| A. Hollins | 0 | 6-21 | 2-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | - |
| B. Mills | 0 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brereton | 0 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| W. Jones | 0 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 11 | - |
| S. Arnold | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Ricketts | 0 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| L. Harris | 0 | 1-12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -9 | - |
* = starter