Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.9% | 28.1% | -5.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners -4 (62-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Okoye | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Thomas | 31 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| L. Anderson | 24 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Greene | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Garner | 21 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| P. Noonan | 20 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Imadiyi | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Z. Moritz | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 36 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Brown | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Blakley | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Bragg | 26 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Johns | 26 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. Latunde | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Emanuel | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Lee | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. Carlson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Lara | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter