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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 6.4% 93.6% -
Bradley-Terry 18.2% 81.8% -
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -
Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.5% 84.5% -
Log Adjusted 15.6% 84.4% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +18 (82-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brown 32 8-15 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 18 6 -
B.J. Raymond 31 4-9 1-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 10 3 -
C.J. Anderson 27 3-5 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 3 8 6 -
D. Jackson 25 1-7 1-3 0-1 3 4 0 0 2 3 1 -
J. Love 24 2-3 0-0 1-1 7 0 1 0 2 5 8 -
T. Holloway 21 3-6 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 1 3 9 3 -
J. McLean 20 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
K. Frease 15 1-3 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
B. Redford 5 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 5 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Henderson 33 7-13 2-3 3-3 2 2 1 0 0 19 11 -
K. Singler 32 4-10 1-3 0-0 8 4 3 3 3 9 14 -
J. Scheyer 31 9-11 5-7 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 23 17 -
G. Paulus 24 1-5 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
B. Zoubek 18 4-4 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 4 2 9 13 -
N. Smith 16 1-6 0-1 2-2 5 3 3 0 2 4 7 -
L. Thomas 15 2-3 0-0 3-6 2 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
D. McClure 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
E. Williams 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Plumlee 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
O. Czyz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Pocius 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter