Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.4% | 7.6% | -13.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -22 (63-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 30 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| D. Green | 26 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Lawson | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| W. Ellington | 25 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Thompson | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| B. Frasor | 20 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Davis | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Drew II | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| W. Graves | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Moody | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Watts | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Wooten | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Igbavboa | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 10 | - |
| M. Rogers | 31 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| E. Buggs | 29 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| H. Little | 28 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Diebler | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Witt | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Haskins | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Fumey | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. McPherson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Shelton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Ferry | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter