Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | +11.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +18 (76-58). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 39 | 5-26 | 2-12 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | -2 | - |
| M. Paulhus Gosselin | 38 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| A. Lovedale | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| W. Archambault | 29 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| B. Barr | 18 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| B. McKillop | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Rossiter | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Allison | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| F. Ben-Eze | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Nelms | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hummel | 37 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 34 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Keaton Grant | 28 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| JaJuan Johnson | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| C. Kramer | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Jackson | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Calasan | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Green | 16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
* = starter