Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +18.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Raivio | 40 | 9-21 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 10 | - |
| T.J. Campbell | 38 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Stohl | 38 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 34 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| L. Sikma | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - |
| K. Knutson | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Ito | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Sim | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Catron | 32 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| L. Longmire | 31 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Porter | 29 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Dunigan | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Crittle | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Wiley | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Humphrey | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Brown | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Williams | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Odia | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Voogd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter