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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 94.3% 5.7% -
Bradley-Terry 8.0% 92.0% -
Margin 54.1% 45.9% -0.9 (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% -
Log Adjusted 63.8% 36.2% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +15 (79-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hill 38 5-11 0-0 6-6 13 3 0 1 5 16 17 -
N. Wise 37 4-12 0-1 0-0 5 4 1 0 6 8 0 -
J. Horne 34 3-10 0-0 1-2 9 2 0 1 1 7 8 -
C. Budinger 32 8-15 1-3 5-6 5 1 1 2 4 22 12 -
K. Fogg 28 2-7 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
Z. Johnson 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 4 6 -
G. Judkins 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Jacobson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
F. Onobun 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Lavender 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Adams 33 8-17 7-12 2-2 5 3 2 0 1 25 17 -
J. Darger 32 3-9 2-7 0-1 2 3 1 0 1 8 4 -
R. Rougeau 32 6-12 0-0 0-0 9 2 4 6 0 12 21 -
T. Willis 28 6-10 3-4 4-5 6 4 0 0 3 19 16 -
O. Bellfield 26 0-6 0-4 0-0 2 7 3 0 0 0 6 -
K. Wallace 18 2-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 0 -
D. Santee 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
B. Massamba 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 2 0 4 7 -
M. Rutledge 8 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
D. Mitchell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Hoffman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter