Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✓ (27.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +36 (82-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.