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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 61.4% 38.6% -
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% -
Margin 56.0% 44.0% -1.3 (11.7 off)
Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -

Actual: UMBC Retrievers -13 (61-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 40 4-9 0-2 5-7 8 1 1 0 4 13 10 -
G. Carr 40 10-18 8-15 6-6 2 1 1 0 3 34 17 -
J. Nichols 37 4-5 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 2 1 9 12 -
B. Gilmore 34 1-6 0-4 5-6 11 1 1 0 2 7 12 -
N. Hendra 24 2-5 0-1 2-2 4 2 2 0 1 6 8 -
F. Borden 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -
B. Simon 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Wilson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Lumpkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Proctor 40 7-19 0-1 8-12 11 1 0 1 1 22 15 -
J. Greene 39 5-10 4-9 2-2 1 5 3 0 2 16 13 -
M. Spadafora 34 5-9 1-2 0-0 2 1 3 0 2 11 6 -
J. Fry 24 3-8 0-0 1-1 2 2 0 1 3 7 1 -
C. Gilliam 23 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 1 5 -
R. Flemming 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
J. Wasco 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Burrier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter