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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 60.1% 39.9% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.0% 30.0% -
Log Adjusted 70.2% 29.8% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -5 (83-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Price 39 6-12 6-9 6-8 3 10 0 0 4 24 21 -
J. Dyson 38 5-12 1-2 10-12 9 4 3 1 2 21 24 -
J. Adrien 37 3-10 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
G. Edwards 30 4-6 0-0 6-9 12 0 2 3 2 14 23 -
C. Austrie 27 2-7 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 6 0 -
S. Robinson 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
H. Thabeet 19 3-5 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 1 3 9 4 -
K. Walker 12 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -4 -
J. Mandeldove 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gray 39 10-16 1-5 2-5 7 4 2 0 0 23 20 -
J. Pargo 39 8-13 0-2 0-0 2 4 2 0 5 16 6 -
M. Downs 38 3-7 3-6 0-0 8 0 3 1 2 9 12 -
M. Bouldin 29 1-6 0-0 4-5 1 3 0 0 3 6 1 -
J. Heytvelt 28 5-8 1-3 4-4 3 1 0 0 0 15 11 -
A. Daye 27 5-11 0-1 3-4 5 0 2 2 1 13 10 -
D. Goodson 15 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 1 -1 -
I. Brown 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
W. Foster 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter