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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 72.6% 27.4% -
Bradley-Terry 69.8% 30.2% -
Margin 78.8% 21.2% -7.2 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.1% 29.9% -
Log Adjusted 70.3% 29.7% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -18 (53-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davis 32 2-5 2-4 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 7 4 -
M. Gatens 31 1-7 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 3 4 -3 -
J. Peterson 28 3-6 1-3 1-1 3 5 3 0 2 8 11 -
D. Bawinkel 26 1-8 1-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -4 -
J. Cole 21 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 4 9 -
A. Tucker 19 4-11 4-10 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 12 3 -
J. Kelly 19 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 2 2 4 1 -
C. Tate 16 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 1 3 -
A. Fuller 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Palmer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Ausdemore 0 7-11 4-6 2-2 4 0 4 0 0 20 17 -
K. Alexander 0 4-7 0-0 3-4 8 5 1 1 0 11 19 -
J. Hamlin 0 7-10 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 5 4 14 11 -
M. Skouby 0 4-10 1-1 3-3 3 0 0 5 3 12 7 -
K. Smith 0 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 5 3 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cox 35 2-7 0-2 2-2 8 0 2 1 1 6 9 -
J. Young 34 4-12 2-6 14-15 5 0 1 0 5 24 13 -
C. Stanley 31 3-9 0-1 0-2 3 1 0 0 1 6 0 -
A. Templeton 26 0-5 0-1 2-3 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Parker 21 5-7 2-3 2-3 2 0 2 0 3 14 8 -
B. Heemskerk 21 0-1 0-1 3-4 7 0 1 3 0 3 13 -
A. White 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 2 9 -
J. Baryenbruch 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
B. Eaddy 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Plummer 0 5-12 2-5 0-0 5 3 2 2 5 12 7 -
K. Turk 0 1-12 1-9 2-2 0 1 2 0 2 5 -6 -
L. Dybing 0 2-11 0-1 0-0 10 1 0 0 3 4 1 -
K. Keizer 0 3-9 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 0 0 6 6 -
K. Agee 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 0 6 -

* = starter