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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model UNC Greensboro Spartans Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 4.0% 96.0% -
Bradley-Terry 11.5% 88.5% -
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.5 (14.5 off)
Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +31 (75-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Oliver 25 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 0 0 -
M. Koivisto 24 2-6 2-6 4-4 2 1 1 0 4 10 4 -
B. Stywall 24 1-4 0-0 3-8 6 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
E. Bone 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
D. Eargle 22 1-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
P. Brown 20 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Clement 18 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 9 0 -
K. Toney 18 3-12 1-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 7 -1 -
D. Jackson 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Smith 11 0-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 0 -7 -
S. Spooner 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson 22 3-6 1-2 3-4 2 2 0 0 1 10 7 -
C. Little 21 6-6 0-0 3-4 3 1 1 0 1 15 13 -
C. Johnson 20 5-11 1-4 1-1 8 0 1 0 2 12 8 -
K. Huelsman 18 1-3 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
C. Wright 17 3-8 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 1 1 8 6 -
L. Fabrizius 16 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 10 5 -
M. Perry 15 1-5 0-4 1-1 2 3 0 0 1 3 2 -
R. Lowery 15 2-4 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
L. Warren 14 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 0 1 -
D. Searcy 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 4 7 -
S. Thomas 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 2 4 -
P. Williams 11 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Hendrick 2 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. McEldowney 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Fox 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter