Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +18 (65-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.