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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 60.0% 40.0% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (14.5 off)

Actual: Little Rock Trojans +18 (65-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Koggu 35 2-8 0-1 0-0 3 9 0 0 3 4 5 -
D. Boone 34 5-15 3-8 3-3 4 0 4 0 1 16 8 -
J. Brown 28 3-10 0-1 3-4 9 1 0 0 1 9 8 -
E. McKinney 27 3-8 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 3 1 7 8 -
S. Morgan 26 3-10 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 8 3 -
M. Lance 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Thomas 16 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
B. Ayers 11 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
D. Bryant 6 0-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -5 -

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Patterson 34 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 7 1 2 3 6 15 -
M. Mouzy 31 3-11 2-8 4-4 4 3 2 1 1 12 10 -
J. Fowler 31 3-8 1-5 2-2 8 4 0 0 4 9 9 -
M. Smith 29 5-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 10 6 -
S. Edwards 28 4-9 0-2 2-2 9 2 1 2 0 10 15 -
S. Moore 23 1-8 1-3 2-3 3 2 0 0 4 5 -2 -
W. Burton 12 4-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 0 9 8 -
C. Jackson 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
C. Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter