Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns -4 (63-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Morgan | 33 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Walton | 30 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Lucas | 29 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| G. Suton | 26 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| D. Summers | 22 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Roe | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| I. Ibok | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Green | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Allen | 6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Lucious | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Gray | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Abrams | 40 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| G. Johnson | 35 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 8 | - |
| D. James | 33 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Mason | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Atchley | 19 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Pittman | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Balbay | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Chapman | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| V. Ward | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter