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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Hofstra Pride UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 58.8% 41.2% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 34.6% 65.4% +3.5 (12.5 off)
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -

Actual: UMass Minutemen +16 (97-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hofstra Pride

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jenkins 31 4-13 0-1 4-6 6 4 0 2 7 12 4 -
C. Vines 29 8-22 5-12 0-2 2 3 2 0 2 21 4 -
M. Szabo 28 3-11 0-4 4-6 17 2 0 0 3 10 15 -
G. Washington 26 6-9 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 3 0 13 15 -
T. Dennison 26 2-11 1-2 0-1 0 1 0 0 1 5 -6 -
N. Lester 20 4-8 0-1 0-1 5 2 0 1 2 8 6 -
D. Townes 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Z. Sestokas 8 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
A. Urbutis 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
D. Johnson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 0 3 -
G. Johnson 7 0-0 0-0 3-6 2 3 1 0 1 3 8 -
M. Davis-Sabb 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gurley 28 7-14 5-7 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 19 9 -
T. Lynch 27 3-6 0-0 0-3 4 1 0 1 1 6 5 -
R. Harris 26 4-9 1-3 7-9 1 3 4 1 3 16 13 -
C. Lowe 24 3-5 0-1 2-2 1 10 0 0 2 8 12 -
D. Gibbs 22 3-7 2-4 3-4 2 2 2 0 0 11 10 -
L. Bonner 18 4-6 3-5 4-5 9 2 0 2 1 15 21 -
M. Glass 18 2-3 2-3 1-2 2 0 0 1 3 7 4 -
G. Correia 17 2-4 2-3 1-3 1 3 0 1 3 7 5 -
T. Gaffney 15 3-5 0-0 2-3 4 1 1 2 0 8 11 -
T. Wilcher 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Mongo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter