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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 80.9% 19.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.8% 21.2% - โœ“
Margin 77.2% 22.8% -6.7 โœ“ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 84.5% 15.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.3% 35.7% - โœ“

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -13 (52-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Mills 36 6-14 2-5 2-3 1 3 3 0 4 16 5 -
O. Samhan 35 6-12 0-0 5-7 16 1 1 4 2 17 25 -
D. Simpson 34 2-7 0-0 3-4 12 0 1 0 1 7 12 -
M. McConnell 25 1-2 0-1 8-11 2 5 1 0 2 10 14 -
W. Hunter 19 0-5 0-1 0-2 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Hughes 18 2-3 2-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
I. O'Leary 15 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Steindl 11 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
Y. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Allen 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
P. Benson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hare 30 3-11 2-4 6-8 1 0 1 0 1 14 4 -
W. Clemmons 28 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Fay 27 2-9 0-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 -1 -
B. Mullins 26 2-9 2-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 6 2 -
K. Dillard 21 3-7 1-2 2-4 0 1 2 0 0 9 5 -
N. Evans 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 0 2 6 -
T. Boyle 17 2-7 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
J. Bocot 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
A. Booker 9 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Cornelius 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter