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2008-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 6.4% 93.6% -
Bradley-Terry 27.2% 72.8% -
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans +21 (95-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett 39 5-11 0-3 2-2 5 4 0 0 4 12 6 -
D. DeRozan 36 8-11 0-0 2-3 6 1 2 2 2 18 16 -
D. Lewis 35 2-10 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 -3 -
L. Washington 32 5-7 0-1 7-8 4 0 2 0 3 17 13 -
T. Gibson 31 2-5 0-0 6-8 18 0 1 3 8 10 19 -
D. Smith 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Wilkinson 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Simmons 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
N. Vucevic 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter