Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (33.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +35 (99-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Darby | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| C. Moore | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Jackson | 23 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Thompson | 22 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| M. Hornbuckle | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Bell | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Suttle Jr. | 20 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| R. Tucker | 14 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Shannon | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Martin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Agre | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Clardy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Galick | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| R. Haynes | 25 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| T. Townsend | 23 | 4-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Tresvant | 23 | 10-17 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 10 | - |
| K. Daniels | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| X. Crawford | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| R. Mels | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Wallace | 12 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| M. Lizarraga | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| V. Cordell | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Taylor | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter