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2008-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 58.4% 41.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 45.6% 54.4% +1.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 68.5% 31.5% -
Efficiency 83.2% 16.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.0% 22.0% -
Log Adjusted 78.1% 21.9% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Turner 33 5-10 2-5 0-1 6 1 3 0 1 12 11 -
B. Stewart 33 3-8 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 1 3 7 2 -
J. Varnado 31 10-13 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 4 2 24 19 -
D. Bost 28 1-10 0-6 0-1 2 3 2 0 0 2 -1 -
R. Johnson 27 3-6 1-2 2-3 1 3 0 0 1 9 6 -
T. Beckham 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 0 3 -
R. Osby 11 2-4 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
E. Bailey 9 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 1 2 4 1 -
R. Benock 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Holcombe 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Vaughn 38 6-14 4-11 0-0 7 6 3 0 2 16 16 -
R. Bishop 26 0-3 0-1 1-2 3 5 1 0 1 1 6 -
D. Dixon 25 3-7 2-4 6-9 3 1 2 0 2 14 11 -
Y. Gates 22 6-13 0-1 0-2 9 0 0 0 0 12 8 -
L. Davis 20 4-6 4-5 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 12 7 -
M. Williams 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
D. Wilks 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 2 4 -
S. Toyloy 17 1-1 0-0 4-6 4 4 0 0 4 6 9 -
A. Mitchell 13 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 6 -2 -
A. McClain 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 -

* = starter