Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Turner | 33 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| B. Stewart | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Varnado | 31 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| D. Bost | 28 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Johnson | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Beckham | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Osby | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| E. Bailey | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Benock | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Holcombe | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Vaughn | 38 | 6-14 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| R. Bishop | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| D. Dixon | 25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Y. Gates | 22 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| L. Davis | 20 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Williams | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Wilks | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Toyloy | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 13 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| A. McClain | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter