Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.7% | 98.3% | +22.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +18 (91-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ely | 34 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 8 | - |
| N. Garner | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Holsinger | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Lacey | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Williams | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Haarsma | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Hopf | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Holmes | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Z. House | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Granger | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Erickson | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Gregory | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thompson | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Lawson | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| W. Ellington | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 25 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Green | 24 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| E. Davis | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| W. Graves | 14 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| L. Drew II | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Frasor | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Watts | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Campbell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Wooten | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Moody | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter