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2008-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 59.0% 41.0% -
Margin 58.0% 42.0% -1.8 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.4% 64.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% -
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% -

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +5 (58-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McGillis 33 6-12 2-4 2-2 4 1 1 1 2 16 9 -
B. Qvale 30 4-6 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 3 1 9 7 -
R. Staudacher 30 3-7 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 8 -1 -
A. Johnson 28 2-5 2-2 3-4 5 6 0 0 3 9 12 -
J. Hasquet 24 1-4 0-2 0-1 4 0 1 1 2 2 2 -
M. Taylor 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
K. Sharp 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
D. Selvig 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
V. Banny 10 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 2 0 0 0 2 6 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Borum 34 2-5 1-3 6-6 3 3 3 0 1 11 14 -
K. Austin 32 7-18 0-4 4-4 5 1 0 0 0 18 6 -
C. Soto 31 2-8 0-0 2-2 4 1 3 0 1 6 5 -
A. Scott 28 4-10 0-0 3-5 9 0 1 0 2 11 9 -
S. Cunningham 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
J. Diggs 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
B. Hampton 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. LoBue 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Barlow 8 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter