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2008-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons Grambling Tigers Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% -
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% -
Margin 56.2% 43.8% -1.4 (2.6 off)

Actual: Grambling Tigers -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McConathy 28 1-9 0-4 2-2 1 5 0 0 4 4 -3 -
C.J. Clark 25 1-5 0-1 3-4 1 3 1 0 2 5 3 -
D. Jones 25 7-14 2-6 4-4 12 2 1 0 2 20 19 -
W. Mosley 22 2-2 0-0 0-2 11 1 5 2 1 4 20 -
D. White 17 8-9 0-0 2-6 2 0 2 0 1 18 12 -
K. Hancock 16 3-7 1-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
K. Porterie 15 5-8 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 3 11 5 -
D. Knight 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 2 4 -
L. McConathy 12 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Brooks 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
C. Clark 5 1-1 0-0 0-3 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Petravicius 5 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 2 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Hulbin 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Richardson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Watkins 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Perkins 34 2-8 2-4 1-5 5 5 0 0 4 7 5 -
A. Prestley 32 6-17 0-2 10-14 7 2 1 0 4 22 11 -
D. Qualls 27 6-12 4-8 3-4 4 2 3 0 3 19 13 -
I. Kpaka 23 3-11 2-9 2-3 4 1 0 0 4 10 0 -
J. Riley 23 2-4 0-0 5-6 5 1 0 2 1 9 12 -
J. Breaux 22 1-3 0-0 2-3 6 3 0 0 2 4 8 -
M. Coleman 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Akpele 9 0-0 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 2 2 2 5 -
J. Lemons 7 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Loyd 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
Q. Hall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Austin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter