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2008-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Akron Zips VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“
Margin 24.1% 75.9% +6.3 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“

Actual: VCU Rams +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Linhart 34 6-11 0-3 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 12 8 -
B. McKnight 32 4-13 1-6 3-4 5 0 0 0 0 12 4 -
H. Hitchens 28 5-13 2-7 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 14 6 -
S. McNees 28 3-4 2-3 2-2 1 4 0 0 2 10 9 -
D. Roberts 25 2-5 2-3 2-2 0 1 1 2 4 8 3 -
C. McKnight 24 5-7 2-2 1-4 5 0 0 0 0 13 11 -
J. Conyers 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Bardo 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Cvetinovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Maynor 38 8-18 2-6 12-14 6 2 3 1 3 30 21 -
B. Burgess 36 3-6 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 8 7 -
J. Rodriguez 34 3-8 0-2 3-3 4 4 3 0 3 9 9 -
K. Pishchalnikov 31 4-4 0-0 1-3 12 2 1 2 1 9 21 -
E. Nixon 26 1-4 1-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
B. Rozzell 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 2 -
L. Sanders 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 3 3 2 -
T. Saintil 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 2 -

* = starter