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2008-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 70.3% 29.7% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 (10.4 off)
Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Mills 36 6-18 1-7 9-10 4 6 0 2 2 22 14 -
D. Simpson 34 7-13 0-0 2-3 18 0 2 0 2 16 21 -
C. Hughes 32 4-10 3-8 3-4 2 0 2 0 3 14 5 -
O. Samhan 31 7-12 0-0 1-3 12 0 1 2 2 15 16 -
W. Hunter 24 2-8 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 6 2 -
I. O'Leary 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 2 6 -
M. McConnell 13 0-2 0-2 2-4 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Y. Smith 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
B. Allen 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Longmire 31 5-9 1-2 1-2 4 0 2 1 3 12 7 -
T. Porter 27 6-15 1-3 3-3 5 3 0 0 1 16 8 -
G. Sim 26 2-7 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 4 0 -
K. Brown 24 5-10 0-2 5-7 1 1 4 0 1 15 10 -
C. Odia 22 1-5 1-4 2-2 9 1 0 0 0 5 10 -
M. Dunigan 21 3-5 0-0 2-5 4 1 0 3 1 8 10 -
J. Catron 20 3-5 1-1 4-4 10 0 1 1 5 11 13 -
T. Williams 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Crittle 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
M. Humphrey 6 0-1 0-1 2-4 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Wiley 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Voogd 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter