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2008-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 69.3% 30.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 30.4% 69.6% -
Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% -
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Foster 36 5-11 1-5 3-3 2 2 3 1 1 14 10 -
J. Bryant 30 5-10 0-0 2-2 15 1 0 3 4 12 17 -
D. White 30 4-8 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 4 10 5 -
J. Rahon 28 5-12 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 13 1 -
P. Petty 27 4-9 1-3 2-2 3 5 0 0 5 11 5 -
M. Santos 23 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 4 3 -
C. Johnson 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Thompson 8 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
B. Dowdell 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Adams 32 6-15 2-7 2-3 1 5 2 0 2 16 7 -
O. Bellfield 31 2-3 0-1 3-4 5 4 0 0 3 7 10 -
J. Darger 29 3-12 3-10 1-2 6 1 0 0 0 10 5 -
D. Santee 26 4-9 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 2 2 11 8 -
R. Rougeau 23 7-9 0-0 1-1 7 3 4 1 1 15 20 -
T. Willis 21 1-3 1-1 3-4 2 1 1 0 3 6 4 -
K. Wallace 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
B. Massamba 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 5 5 -
M. Rutledge 6 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
D. Mitchell 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter