Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. McDowell | 34 | 10-24 | 6-16 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 8 | - |
| T. Patterson | 33 | 2-10 | 2-10 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Sheard | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Hartwell | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Goffney | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| N. Doaks | 25 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| J. Williams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Early | 9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Harvey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Smith | 40 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| C. Pigram | 40 | 9-23 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | - |
| G. Hamlin | 35 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| K. Tiggs | 26 | 11-13 | 2-3 | 8-12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 28 | - |
| I. Brown | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Hubbard | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Williams | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jaxson Jones | 5 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Sollazzo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter