Model Predictions
| Model | Longwood Lancers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +29 (90-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Swecker | 29 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| D. Smith | 29 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| R. Bogan | 26 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Washington | 22 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Carter | 19 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Neil | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| E.J. Dawson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Robinson Jr. | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Ryan | 11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| B. Evans | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| E. Gee II | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. van der Kooij | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Landesberg | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 14 | - |
| M. Scott | 27 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Tucker | 24 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| S. Zeglinski | 24 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C. Baker | 24 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Jones | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Diane | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| A. Sene | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Meyinsse | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Brandenburg | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Sherrill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter