Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.1% | 15.9% | -9.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -7 (65-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Wilkinson | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| T. Newbold | 29 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Quayle | 26 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| P. Williams | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Myaer | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Wesley | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Williams | 16 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| M. Niang | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Formisano | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Geiger | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Lee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Quinney | 40 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Marek | 40 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| D. Baker | 36 | 2-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Clifford | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Allen | 29 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Nielson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter